Impress Everyone

I can tell you 3 of 10 (0.00 / 0)

1 -- Davis vs. Smith will end up Jim Davis.  Neither Democrat inspires enough to encourage a heavy turnout so Davis will slink in.

8 -- District 48.  It's Peter Nehr with Ken Peluso a close second.  Peluso name recognition in district 48 and he's got the PAC's attacking Nehr (2 slander mailers the last 2 days) but the problem is Nehr isn't Peluso.  It'll end up being Palm Harbor Republicans vs. Tarpon Springs Republicans on this vote.

Flaherty is the dark horse of the race.  He's invested a lot in a new web site, campaign videos and has sent a ton of mailers the last few days in an attempt to up his name recognition.  Too late though.

Robin Borland doesn't stand a chance.  A principled Republican not on the take in a district where the other Republicans are on the take and have spent much much more than she has taken in.

10 -- Kim Berfield didn't vote for the phone rate increases, she didn't try to pass legislation as a personal favor of a developer that would take development rules away from counties.  Farkas has too much baggage and if he gets in, he's going to have a bullseye of his legislative corruption for Charlie Justice to keep taking shots at.

---

by: stonegauge @ Sun Sep 03, 2006 at 13:55:28 PM CDT

My picks (3.00 / 1)

I can only do the ones that I'm familiar with.

Democrat Governor--Davis will take the nomination, I'm going to say by 7 percentage points. Too much concern about Smith and Big Sugar to have him pull off the win.

Senate District 30--Ted Deutch wins, 5 percentage points. If it were an open primary, it would be different. Slosberg's visibility would have been enough to get extra votes to pull him over the top. But with a closed primary and basically only the Democratic base voting, this favors Deutch. Much of the base is way too pissed at Irv Slosberg for his grandstanding. The sad thing is Irv could have easily defeated Deutch no sweat had he kept his ego intact. It will be close, but Deutch wins this one.

House District 86--This is a very tough race to handicap; no one candidate has stood out as the front runner. I'm going to go out on a limb and say Maria Sachs eeks it out by 3 percentage points or less. Seigel could have positioned himself a front runner but his star has seemed to have fallen as of late. He just didn't pull enough endorsements. Joseph Abruzzo will contend but too many people are upset for him abandoning the Palm Beach county commission race without fielding a replacement for him to pull it out. Lerman lacks the temperment to win this. To her credit, she did pull the Palm Beach Post endorsement, but it won't be enough.

---

by: SkinkTyree @ Sun Sep 03, 2006 at 17:33:39 PM CDT

The Answers Are ... (0.00 / 0)

1.  Smith
2. Villalobos
3. Deutch
4. ???
5. ???
6. ???
7. Suarez
8. ???
9. Buchanan
10. Berfield

---

by: Scoop @ Mon Sep 04, 2006 at 11:15:40 AM CDT

Davis Will Win (0.00 / 0)

1. It ain't necessarily my choice, but Davis will win.  Any Rodmentum that may have exited has been blunted by the "big sugar" counteroffensive by the media - the very same media that said nothing about Jeb (let alone Charlie) being owned by corporate interests, and has said nothing about big sugar's independent expenditures on behalf of Crist.

Should Smith eke out a victory, he will be demolished by the media and Crist - the very definition of an empty suit (and perhaps the only candidate who can make Mel Martinez look substantive (well, just a little)) - will crush him.

More on the rest of the races later.

---

by: Blue @ Mon Sep 04, 2006 at 11:25:02 AM CDT

my 2 Cents (0.00 / 0)

here's my guess on the one's i know:

1.Davis
2. Bolanos
3. Slosberg
4.
5.
6. Mills (but very close)
7. Carollo
8.
9.
10. Berfield
TB:  34%

---

by: FrustratedModerate @ Mon Sep 04, 2006 at 12:29:27 PM CDT

My picks (0.00 / 0)

1. Davis
2. Balanos
3. Deutch
4. Rice
5. Sachs
6. Mills
7. Fernandez
8. Nehr
9. Detert
10. Berfiend

TB: 38%

---

by: Derek Newton @ Mon Sep 04, 2006 at 16:59:38 PM CDT

rankings (4.00 / 1)

1.Jim Davis
2.Alex Villalobos
3.Ted Deutch
4.Jeff Wander
5.Mark Seigel
6.Dave Mills
7.Frank Corollo
8.Peter Nehr (Zimmermann's going to win anyway)
9.Vern Buchanan
10.Frank Farkas

pretty much guessed on 3,4,5,6,7

---

by: JonnyMcDemocrat @ Mon Sep 04, 2006 at 18:00:08 PM CDT

close Gov primary (0.00 / 0)

1. The primary will be close, within 2-4 percentage points, and I'm betting Rod Smith.

Check out our blog: Grassroots Brevard

---

by: College Progressive @ Mon Sep 04, 2006 at 21:09:22 PM CDT

Predictions (4.00 / 1)

The State of Sunshine has predictions in these and other races... except for the % that Terry will get: 34%.

http://www.stateofsu...

1. Florida Governor DEM:
ROD SMITH

2. Florida Senate Dist 38 REP:
ALEX VILLALOBOS

3. Florida Senate Dist 30 DEM:
TED DEUTCH

4. Florida House Dist 120 REP:
DAVID RICE

5. Florida House Dist 86 DEM:
MARIA SACHS

6. Florida House Dist 69 REP:
LAURA BENSON

7. Florida House Dist 107 REP:
ROBERT FERNANDEZ

8. Florida House Dist 48 REP:
PETER NEHR

9. U.S. House Dist 13 REP:
VERN BUCHANAN

10. State Senate Dist 16 REP:
"KIM" BERFIELD

---

by: JimJohnson @ Tue Sep 05, 2006 at 09:53:25 AM CDT

Daily Kos thread (0.00 / 0)

For any FLAPolitics Kossacks out there, there is an ongoing discussion (with few participants at current) of today's election:

Click here to view

---

by: stonegauge @ Tue Sep 05, 2006 at 13:00:16 PM CDT

[ Parent ]