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Florida: An Economic Overview

by: meowmissy

Thu Dec 18, 2008 at 11:40:57 AM EST


Yesterday, the Senate Select Committee on Florida's Economy heard a briefing from Amy Baker, head of the Legislature's Office of Economic and Demographic Research, which painted a bleak picture for our state.
meowmissy :: Florida: An Economic Overview
Download a copy of the presentation - Florida: An Economic Overview (PDF).

Budget

According to the presentation, Florida's budget shortfalls are due to:

  1. Slower population growth
  2. Loss of wealth from declining home prices and investment losses
  3. Growing home inventory
  4. Spreading Credit Crunch
  5. National and Global Recession

Florida's budget is expected to be $2.14 Billion in the hole this year.  According to Amy Baker ""The worst is definitely ahead of us," with experts predicting next fiscal year's budget gap could be $5.8 Billion.

This news came on the heals of a jobs report showing Florida's unemployment rate at 7% for October, higher than the national average of 6.5%.  The projections are that the unemployment rate in Florida will reach 8.1% by late summer 2009.

Dealing with the shortfall

In the meantime, the Orlando Sentinel reports on these options under consideration:

  • Eliminating as many as 2,356 state government positions including 1,041 layoffs (not inluding the university system)
  • Putting 147,000 State employees on work furloughs (two weeks unpaid leave)
  • 7% pay cut for most state employees
  • Raise the state's cigarette tax
  • Alex Sink called for reviewing service fees and ending some sales tax exemptions
  • Take more out of Trust Fund accounts such as the Lawton Chiles endowment

Florida Capital News reports on these additional options:
  • Merging the Agency for Health Care Administration with the Department of Health
  • Raising standards for students to qualify for the Bright Futures college scholarships or suspending the scholarship program altogether.
  • Eliminating optional services for poor people on Medicaid.
  • Substituting modular buildings for new prison construction

Last year Governor Crist implemented a 4% hold back from agency budgets which also required agencies to come up with plans to handle cuts of as much as 10%.

A sliver of a silver lining?

The presentation does say that the economy will rebound: "By April 2010, growth rates will begin a slow return to
more typical levels."

Also, according to a Florida Capital Report broadcast this morning, Amy Baker's projections do not factor in an economic stimulus package from the Federal Government under the incoming Obama administration.

Pay Attention

A Special Session has been called for January 5-16 to deal with the budget deficit.  I urge all Floridians to pay close attention and add your voice to the legislative deliberations.

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